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Old 01-25-2007, 08:49 PM
donkeykong2 donkeykong2 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 970
Default Re: Was it dumb of me to gamble on this draw?

hmmm i ll try a little math here:
u probably flop the nuts on the turn in about 20-25% of the time. u should then be able to get it in vs one opponent for a pot of 200, your equity is about 70% then... 140. this would be a profit of 50 *22%=11 for the other 78% you have 0 or close to zero equity on the turn -21*78%=-17.
so it suckz if only one opponent calls with a set. if both call u might be a little better of, but u will probably not get 2 calls if the flush card comes on the turn. so a fold is good i think without more math (annoyed myself with it [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img])...if co decides to shove over bb on the flop your prly not too well of as well.
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