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Old 02-11-2006, 07:10 PM
sweetjazz sweetjazz is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 3,700
Default Re: how bad was this?

The times you win when he is on a draw and doesn't improve plus the times he is on a stone bluff or smaller PP and doesn't outdraw plus the times you outdraw him by spiking a third seven don't come close to outweighing the majority of the time when you lose to a higher pair or get outdrawn (b/c just about any draw has lots of outs versus your vulnerable hand).

Is it a terrible play? Not in the sense that I have seen worse. But is it -EV? Definitely. And probably a pretty significant amount.
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