[luckyme]

Phones left in the sun or hot car may exhibit symptom Y and 98% of them fail.
Phones subjected to brief moisture and dried shortly after exhibit symptom Y and 90% of them recover.
Phones that experience BX also show symptom Y.
Overall, the experience of all phones showing symptom Y is 90% of them fail.

Knowing that this phone fits the wet/dry mode means we can ignore the 90% general rule ( it's a circular argument otherwise), and no amount of yelling about Bayes or Hayes should convince anyone to do anything but ignore the person and hope they get help.

luckyme