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Variance
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01-14-2007, 12:44 PM
The DaveR
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: IMA CUT U, WTF CANADA
Posts: 16,743
Re: Variance
Why doesn't someone just reverse the problem and estimate, given say 200 players with winrates of 1 BB/100 the likelihood of 1 or more having a 450 BB downswing. I suspect the probability is uncomfortably large.
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