Re: Too passive or played perfectly
[ QUOTE ]
Why would you bet the turn? You can't fold a draw, the pot being as big as it is, and *you can't charge a draw when you don't have anything*. You're also opening yourself to a checkraise in those cases where opponent has a FH...The reason for staying in the hand is that you have just enough equity to call; you're not ahead of opponent's range.
[/ QUOTE ]
The first question is: would villain raise hero on the turn with anything that we're beating? No. Hero's play looks like an oddly played trips or boat. If we get raised, we safely fold and earn an extra bet as compared to calling down.
The second question: do we have a chance of inducing a mistake from our opponent by betting? Yes. We have a relatively trashy hand and there's almost no hand we have a huge equity edge against. If any hand folds here, we've earned money. If we get a hand like a baby flush and 7 high low draw to fold - we've earned quite alot of money.
The only reason you'd want to check/call here is if you felt you had a large equity edge and wanted to try to induce bluffs from worse hands - or if you thought there's a chance you might get blown off the best hand. But that's just not going to happen here. You don't have a big equity edge over any real hand, and your opponent's not going to raise you with worse hands.
|