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Old 01-11-2007, 09:41 PM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: Chance of predicting exact basketball scores?

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6689 NBA games since 1990 with integer spread and total.

3 of these have been graded push/push.

20030408 TOR MIA -6 172 83 89
20051109 SAS CHA 8 180 94 86
20001104 LAL MEM 9 187 98 89

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Thanks.

I think if anyone has the time, my method would be a way of getting a lot more accurate results because of the inherent unlikelihood of the event, but this is obviously incredibly helpful too.

Lori

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isn't that what he did?

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I would count the times that each team hit, not the times that both hit. Just to increase sample size A LOT.

having a 12k sample of 40-1 shots is a lot better than a 6k sample of 1500-1 shots, even though it's actually just an estimation.

Lori
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