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Old 01-08-2007, 07:06 PM
swope swope is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 862
Default Re: $600 PLO Balls Deep

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I dont think its as easy a fold as some people are suggesting.

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I dont agree.

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Villan could be easily have a straight plus lower flush draw here o a hand like 6 7 plus a straight/flush draw.

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The board pairs, villian bets 222$ at it, and you think hes on a draw? Unless villian has gone broke every other hand before this, there is no reason to believe hes a complete idiot or has some fiscal deathwish.

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Given the fact that we have position I might call the turn and re-evaluate the river but I dont disagree with a fold either. It depends a lot on what you think villan is capable of on the river and on how aggressive he plays draws on he flop.

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I dont mean to sound harsh but this isnt holdem, and if you dont give people some credit for the hands they represent, you will be broke, fast.

There is almost zero chance he didnt flop a set of 7's or 6's judging from the flop bet, and even if hes soooooper loose you can safely put him on A7xx or A6xx, where x is a kicker thats almost statistically certain to beat the piss out of anything hero has.

Hero realistically has 5 outs (providing villian has a set of 6's or 7's, and has 3 outs if villian flopped TTP etc). If he makes his flush, its even harder to get away from the inevitable bet on the river.

Folding is the right play.
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