Re: Mirage 20/40 - Is waiting to raise the river here a mistake?
Making "Big" laydowns in Limit Hold Em in headsup hands on the river, when you are getting 18-1 on the call is a money loser. If you're beat, then you hit a cooler hand. But to make this fold, despite your read, will not do you any good over enough hands. I know you "read" him for KK but you have to be 90% sure to make money from this fold. I give myself credit for making big folds when I read a guy for a big hand, but I'm not laying down a 720 pot for $40, especially when it's a guy you think you have a line on. I played this weekend at Borgata and there was a guy who after 1 orbit, looked like a good player to me. after 2 orbits i realized he was awful and my assesment of him was incorrect. it's ok to make a call when you'rs pretty sure you're beat but are getting compensated at the end with huge pot odds.
The information you will garner is worth the $40 so you can at the very least know what he had and know if your assesment of his play is accurate.
|