Re: AJ off - man i hate that hand.
[ QUOTE ]
Gotcha. The 6s only count for half because we would then split with A3.
[/ QUOTE ]
Yes. You got me. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
[ QUOTE ]
Implied odds, we have position on him. If we catch and he bets, we are at least making one more bet. And, yeah, we're getting 3.5:1 on a calldown, if we call his river bet (if he makes one), which we don't have to if we don't improve (I think I've already said that, tho).
[/ QUOTE ]
So, I interpret this as a call/fold-situation on the river.
Lets do some more maths (and please correct me if Im wrong):
We have 6.5 outs meaning around 14% chance of winning. We are winning 8 BB if we hit (we agree that villain will bet the river), we are losing 1 if we dont (since we dont call unimproved).
So 14%*(8BB) - 86%*(1BB) = +0.26 BB.
So calling is +EV. Thanks, boz!
|