Re: AJ off - man i hate that hand.
[ QUOTE ]
But I dont think I get it. Why 7.5 outs against A3? We have 9 outs (3 6s, 3 Qs, 3 Js).
[/ QUOTE ]
Gotcha. The 6s only count for half because we would then split with A3.
[ QUOTE ]
Furthermore, why is this a clear call with 6.5 outs getting 6-to-1?
And we are getting 3.5-to-1 for a call-down no matter what.
[/ QUOTE ]
Implied odds, we have position on him. If we catch and he bets, we are at least making one more bet. And, yeah, we're getting 3.5:1 on a calldown, if we call his river bet (if he makes one), which we don't have to if we don't improve (I think I've already said that, tho).
[ QUOTE ]
Is this guy check-raising us with a worse hand more than 20% of the time?
I actually dont know, but would guess not. A turn check-raise is rare IMO. And a bluff/semibluff turn check-raise much rarer.
[/ QUOTE ]
I don't actually know, since we don't have a real read, and OP doesn't seem to be talking. But since we make up the difference in implieds, the times he's semi-bluffing is just gravy (think I already said that, too).
|