Re: AJ off - man i hate that hand.
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Weighting outs (combo, combinations, outs, weighted outs):
66, 3, 0, 0
33, 3, 0, 0
A6, 9, 6, 1
A3, 9, 7.5, 1.3
Q6, 9, 8, 1.4
Q3, 9, 8, 1.4
63, 9, 8, 1.4
Total = 6.5
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Thanks for the thorough analysis. I estimated around 6 outs as well, but not that exact.
But I dont think I get it. Why 7.5 outs against A3? We have 9 outs (3 6s, 3 Qs, 3 Js).
Furthermore, why is this a clear call with 6.5 outs getting 6-to-1?
And we are getting 3.5-to-1 for a call-down no matter what.
Is this guy check-raising us with a worse hand more than 20% of the time?
I actually dont know, but would guess not. A turn check-raise is rare IMO. And a bluff/semibluff turn check-raise much rarer.
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