Re: How much luck is involved in hu nlc?
I calculated the probability of loosing X matches or less in a row if one is .65 to win each match (regardless of opponent, mental state, etc) in a 100 game stretch.
7- .006
8-.04
9-.12
10-.25
11-.41
12-.56
13-.69
14-.78
15-.85
16-.90
Having some opponents be better and some worse would increase these numbers, which explains how riverspecialist hit such a low end of the distribution.
|