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Old 02-09-2006, 07:40 PM
bottomset bottomset is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: middleset ftw
Posts: 12,983
Default Re: 5/10 I know he\'s FOS, but do I still have to fold?

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yes. pot is tiny, he has like 57 outs if you're ahead, i'd fold it.

edit: nice avatar...

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its 5BB and if he has 15outs, I have 67% equity which is 3.33BB which is a lot of the pot

gutshot+FD+overcards is 19outs I have 58.6% equity, which is just under 3BB

OESD+FD+overcards is 23outs I have 50% equity there, thats 2.5BB

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and if he's ahead you're toast. plus reverse implied odds.

edit: seriously though who is that in your avatar

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no idea on the avatar, just some random pic I found a while ago

I know Im trashed when behind .. but I have no worse than 54% equity when ahead which is 2.6BB calling the turn costs 1BB .. I have decent overlay, i think this is pretty close either way

I am trying to find a little balance from the pure math, and the instinct of sorts that says he's betting to get me to fold a better hand

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I thought worst case would be 99

seriously though he doesn't have to be FOS here. he could easily have a pair.

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oh yeah thats the worst, I was talking about when ahead but where villian has the most outs, anthing that is ahead is WA he should be c/r most1pair hands on the flop

he isn't FOS all the time, but I think he is a good chunk of the time
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