Re: The Mathematics of Poker
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To either of the authors, I have a question about the concept of jamming the pot on pg 86-88.
On Pg 88 you state that if your opponent raises 25% of his hands from the button but only calls a few reraise jams then this is a good play when he is calling you less than 1/5 of the time.
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This is a good exploitive play in this circumstance, if you know the guy's strategy and the stacks are as we describe.
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I'm kind of confused about the idea you guys mentioned about jamming him from the blinds just because he will usually fold. Correct me if I'm wrong but the idea I got is that a player like this is only going to be calling these jam moves with AA KK or AK.
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Well, you're definitely unhappy if he calls. But all the money you picked up by raising all the times he doesn't more than makes up for it.
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What my question is, are there any specific range of hands you recommend needed to jam the guy with in this situation, or are you actually recommending jamming with 2-3?
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Well, "this situation" is specific to the stack size and the player -- the idea is that you can calculate the equity of your different actions and figure out which is best from an exploitive standpoint. Here, it's fairly obvious that "jam" is the best option for almost every hand because the opponent's strategy is so weak - that is, he raises loosely but gives up frequently.
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Also, I haven't read ahead yet, so you may have answered this, but what about considerations of people who remain in early position left to call your jam move? Do you not worry about them limping in with monster hands in this situation?
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There are no limpers in this example, and yes it would be imperative to be aware of them and their likely distributions and strategies if there were any.
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By the way excellent book so far. I can see why Chris Ferguson says this will be the only book on his syllabus if he ever teaches math at UCLA. I've taken Probability and Statistics, and Psychological Stats(involved confidence intervals, and central limit theorem.) This book is in-depth, but tough so far for me. Math is not my strong point, even though I made A's in each class. Just tough to remember how to do a lot of it, without an actual hands on teacher. Either way, nothing I can't handle overall so far. Great book.
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Thanks.
jerrod
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