Re: KJ OTB - River play?
bet the flop. i actually think that, having not bet the flop, we may be able to feel better (even if not great) about calling the river (more discussion later) but it depends on what SB and MP+1 think about our lack of a continuation-bet - do they see this as us being tricky with a monster or being weak with AK or something? i know i usually assume my opponents are being silly with top set or something but the T95 flop is pretty crappy-looking for AK and it's totally possible that we were getting check/raised by T9, QT (given the turn), T5 on this flop to begin with. the chance of these hands is smaller after villain doesn't slow down on the scary river, but cannot be totally discounted.
on the river, i mostly thought what entity said - the pot is too large to fold to a three-bet and we're probably just as likely to get SB to call if s/he accidentally made two pair or something so we really only run into trouble while raising bc we definitely don't get them to call two bets with a hopeless hand.
if SB was drawing and hit, we may get check/three-bet and if we choose to call we will practically KNOW that we are beaten. if SB check/raises and MP+1 calls, i'd still probably call because i think players might do this sometimes with a set (or even a smaller straight) often enough but it definitely sucks.
as played isn't terrible, especially if you have a read that MP+1 is really aggressive and/or color-blind [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img].
btw, if MP+1 made a flush, i think they played it well on the river but there's not a big difference unless SB will call our single bet before getting check/raised.
bbbushu
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