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Old 12-25-2006, 06:08 PM
Dov Dov is offline
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Default Re: NLHE win rate for a good player in B&M setting

[ QUOTE ]
What will the approximate win rate for:
$1-$2?
$2-$3?
$2-$5?

[/ QUOTE ]

The sad truth is that except as an intellectual exercise, it doesn't really matter.

I'm going to take what I think is a nonstandard position on this one.

If you are good enough to beat these games for a decent amount, then you are going to be more interested in playing well to move up.

If you aren't able to beat these games, then it doesn't matter what a good player can beat it for.

When you are good enough to know that you are winning but running bad or playing like crap but running good, then you will already have the fundamental knowledge required to beat these low limit games.

Developing the hand reading, timing, and discipline skills is another matter entirely and will take much longer than most people want to believe. This is why the games 'stay good', as Mason put it.

Good players, I think, won't really care about their win rates in these games, other than to know that they are beating the game at all. I don't think that it's good to optimize your win rate for these low limit games.

I think that your time will be better spent looking at this from a different perspective.

Identify and capitalize on the mistakes being made by both you and your opponents. That is where all the money comes from. When you can spot enough mistakes in the players at the next limit up, then move up - forget about the winrate, except as a bankroll sizing requirement or a downswing checkup.

Dov
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