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Old 12-21-2006, 03:15 PM
Evan Evans Evan Evans is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 48
Default Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It

[ QUOTE ]

You need:
a) Winrate over the sample (x)
b) Number of hands (n)
c) Standard Deviation (found on the "More Info" window) (s)

You can then calculate it as follows:

For a 95% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 1.96 * s/sqrt(n)

For a 99% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 2.5758 * s/sqrt(n)

Standard Deviations tend to be pretty large, so expect the ranges to be large, as well.

[/ QUOTE ]Ok, here's what PT shows currently on a set of:

12607 hands
11.73 BB/100
30.7998 Big Bets SD/100

So, uh, what's that do for you? How do I reverse engineer a confidence rate from those numbers?

Evan Evans
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