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Old 12-18-2006, 08:00 PM
rjp rjp is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Charleston, SC
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Default Re: MNF Cincinnati @ Indianapolis

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If you risk 20% of your bankroll on a 52% true odds play then you're going to go broke 2.55% of the time (an 0-5 streak).

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You're forgetting the fact that if full Kelly betting calls for a 20% bankroll play, the absolute amount wagered will be diminished for the subsequent plays. (The case of simultaneous full Kelly betting is different.) Thus, an 0-5 streak is not sufficient to bust a full-Kelly bettor.

[/ QUOTE ]You're right, and correct me if I'm wrong, but the most successful Kelly bettors wouldn't risk 20% on a play.
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