[MyTurn2Raise]

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David,
I haven't read the entire thread yet, but want to give my reaction having read the initial post and argument. I'll go back and read later.

First, a 50-50 OT proposition is a huge mistake IMO. Given that one team has scored two touchdowns in a row to tie the game, I feel they are much stronger than 50/50 to win the game.



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I think it is 50/50. Whoever wins the coinflip is probably 70/30 (i have not looked up data to back this up)

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get back to me when you have a reasonable smaple size on how teams that have come back from 14 late do in overtime. I know it happened today and that team lost (Tampa Bay). Although, it clearly looked like they were heavy favorites entering the OT and a turnover flipped the game around.