[Bond18]

I made a major mistake in titling this post the way i did. I won't do that next time, becuase now some people are reading this with the mindset of "how can we avoid losing chips?"

Heres how i read his river bet, he either has KQ/KJ and has me or i've forced him into a situation with AQ/AJ 99/88/77 that forces him into a bluff if he wants to have any chips (if checks knowing he'll lose he'll have 9 BB's left in a short handed tournament.)

I guess my thinking with this line is that when i bet the flop im not sure i can lay it down (if you want tell me with some clear thinking why i should definately fold here if i cont bet flop, im willing to listen to reason), and since i don't really think im going to lay down (again, i see 2 hands in his range KQ/KJ that should have us beat) by checking i force him into this kind of spot where he feels like he MUST bluff at me in order to get the pot.