Re: The Two Point Conversion When Eight Down
David,
I haven't read the entire thread yet, but want to give my reaction having read the initial post and argument. I'll go back and read later.
First, a 50-50 OT proposition is a huge mistake IMO. Given that one team has scored two touchdowns in a row to tie the game, I feel they are much stronger than 50/50 to win the game.
Second, you cannot view 2-point plays in an independent vacuum. They are a part of a whole game and whole season. Teams develop and practice only so many key plays to get 3 yards when needed throughout the year. By going for 2, teams are showing their tendencies and given away their strategy needlessly IMO. Football is much more complex than you are giving it credit for based on the problem you present in the OP.
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