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Old 12-12-2006, 12:10 PM
Magic_Man Magic_Man is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: MIT
Posts: 677
Default Re: The Two Point Conversion When Eight Down

Just re-skimmed this thread because of the new post, 2+2 for 2. I didn't see anyone mention this, but maybe I missed it:

If all the teams start going for 2 in this spot, won't the percentage change drastically from 42%? I'm not sure if it will go up or down. It all depends on whether it is fundamentally easier to make a 2pt or defend it. Could 2+2 for 2 actually make the situation -EV?

~MagicMan
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