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Old 12-12-2006, 08:11 AM
Dr. Strangelove Dr. Strangelove is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,245
Default Re: theoretical heads-up question

Using pokerstove:
AAv random= 85.2 : 14.8
KKv random= 82.4 : 17.6

the difference in equity is 2.8%. On average it takes 221 hands to pick up aces, you blind off $.75 per hand.

221*.75= 165.75

165.75=.028x
x=5919

The break even point should be around 100 blinds higher, plus or minus a couple, because you will still lose sometimes even with the gigantic chip lead. So you should fold KK preflop here if you are 6000 big blinds deep or more. Barring some retarded mistake i made in the math.

I'm pretty tired, maybe I should be thinking of the 2.8% difference as a percentage increase of 82.4%?
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