[mrbaseball]

[ QUOTE ]
Blindly betting big favorites with no specific reason for the bet other than "low risk, since they'll probably win" is a sure way to lose in the end.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is what destroys a lot of baseball bettors. Baseball games can never really be considered an upset when the dog wins. But most bettors want to try and pick a "winner" rather than trying to bet value. Hence the favorites often get more action than they should. Picking "winners" is a surefire road to the poorhouse.