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Old 12-04-2006, 09:53 AM
CanadaLowball CanadaLowball is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 65
Default Re: The Two Point Conversion When Eight Down

my main concern about this whole thing is whether or not 42% actually represents the probability of success.

its not exactly rolling dice or dealing cards we're talking about, so are we able to apply past success/failure rates to current situations that may not involve the same plays and players and all the other factors.

so basically, what i'm asking is this: at any given time, does a team attempting a 2 point conversion really have a 42% probability of success?
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