Re: The Two Point Conversion When Eight Down
David, the math is so clear on this point it's indisputable. 95% of coaches (and owners, and fans) don't know the math. I'm not sure what you expect of the average population, most of whom are mathematically illiterate.
I have thought for a while that coaches don't go for it on 4th down enough. Some of the best coaches (Belichick, Parcells) take more risks than others.
What do think of the frequency of making tricky/risky special teams plays? I'm thinking of fake punts, fake field goals, and surprise onside kicks. We probably agree that coaches don't take these risks often enough; probably for the same reason that they don't understand the risk/reward profile. I watch a fair amount of pro football and I don't think I have seen ANY this season.
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