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Speaking of coaches in general, I think this is probably true. However, that doesn't explain situations like the one David posted about, where it is very clear what the correct move is, and yet every singe coach gets it wrong every single time. Surely somebody has explained this to one coach or owner, right?!?!?!

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You do realize that going for 2 will be criticized on TV every day (less so if it works) heavily by every TV "expert" right? Then the fan base gets angered and wants a new coach. Then coach gets fired. Coaches aren't going to do anything that might get them fired. (outside of the crappy on field coaching) It's correct mathematically will not work as an explanation to 90% of the population.

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You do realize that htere are more than a handfull of coahces in the league who aren't going to take much heat when it fails? Parcells ain't gettin fired, Belicheck, Cowher? You think Cower's going anywhere? Sahnahan, Holmgren (now that hes taken Seattle to a SB hes got a few more years). MOrover if going for it and succeding adden a win to your year and brought you into the playoffs it might just save your job.

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It would be interesting perhaps to go over the history in NFL games since the 2 pt. coversion was re-instated and see how the seasons might have been affected. The Steelers made into the playoffs last year as a 6th seed and won the Super Bowl. Perhaps they would have been derailed from making the playoffs with some more mathematically correct coaching decisions. Just one example.