Re: 2 50/100 hands commerce
My point wasn't that I think straights or sets are folding, but that by raising, you fold hands, you wouldn't get action from either way, and in contrary action from hands that are drawing at something like 20/80 og 30/70 against you. Lastly, you'll have a much easier river (and turn, if they should raise) decision.
Furthermore, I don't think the draws would be making moves on the flop, unless it's really strong draws, given the fantastic odds and the number of players, they would face. I don't give much respect to the overcall - surely, he would be raising any strong hand, so I would mostly put him on a hand like 76 to the nut gutshot hoping to get paid big by the fish's draw, and maybe the strong end of Antonio's range.
Given the bet size of Antonio's turn bet coupled with the flop lead, I think AA is well ahead of his range.
- AB
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