Re: $22s - The most interesting hand in teh STTf history. Discuss. Hol
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I was wondering how much I gain EV by letting the donks donk this hand up?
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My thought would be not as much as you gain by pushing.
If there was another shorty involved, maybe a different story. Probably not, but maybe.
But with the three stacks involved, a significant number of chips have to change hands to affect your position at all. You gain 8% equity by ICM if you push and everybody folds. Even if you're called, you might be a favourite to double up (and you gain 14%+). Assuming nobody busts on the hand, you can gain like 3-5% equity, even if two stacks drop below yours.
Given the stack sizes, even with aggressive players (maybe especially with agressive players, if you're not going to get many chances to steal), you're going to need to win a hand. How many better hands than TT are you going to get?
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