Re: betting/ raising when you/ they cant have it
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Versus most opponents, I'm not bet/folding anything to a raise on this board. I'm checking behind draws like AJ-AK, KJ-KQ, JQ, and marginal hands like A8 or lower with intention of calling a river bet. Anything stronger than 94 I'm bet/calling down for value. (And bet/3-betting a T or better.)
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are you sure there is sufficient value in bet/calling down your pretty good hands here? why do you think that bet/calling down is better than checking behind and calling a river bet, with say, an overpair, to perhaps induce a bluff (and save 2 bets when behind)? i am not really sure which line is actually best, just curious to hear your reasoning. im not really sure that 'typical' opponents are check raise bluffing often enough on such scary boards to make your line best. i play from 3/6ish to 15/30ish short, and am starting to think I should (generally) start having more respect for turn check raises, primarily b/c the 'c/r turn' stats of most of my opponents are usually like 5% or less. however, it does seem through experience that i am check raise bluffed more often than these stats seem to suggest. but i dont think the #'s are lying! anyway, curious to hear what you think.
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