Re: $100NL Do you hate this call?
With the very real chance of being wrong, the paradigm I use to determine when to check behind involves how likely villian is to pay off multiple value bets, how many draws there are on the board, but mostly how likely I feel it is that villian peeled with a draw vs. peeling with a pair vs. a set, i.e. whether I need to charge, value bet or block for the river, and that is much more read dependent.
Here maaaaybe KQ will pay off a bet on the turn, while checking should increase the chance a weaker hand paying us off. However, checking the turn also obligates us to call just about anything reasonable, regardless of what drops, so I think the call is just fine.
Also, because hero reraised preflop, firing again on the turn defines our hand to almost exactly AA/AK/JJ making it even easier to play more optimally.
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