View Single Post
  #11  
Old 11-21-2006, 04:19 AM
Cormia Cormia is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 671
Default Re: $100NL Do you hate this call?

With the very real chance of being wrong, the paradigm I use to determine when to check behind involves how likely villian is to pay off multiple value bets, how many draws there are on the board, but mostly how likely I feel it is that villian peeled with a draw vs. peeling with a pair vs. a set, i.e. whether I need to charge, value bet or block for the river, and that is much more read dependent.

Here maaaaybe KQ will pay off a bet on the turn, while checking should increase the chance a weaker hand paying us off. However, checking the turn also obligates us to call just about anything reasonable, regardless of what drops, so I think the call is just fine.

Also, because hero reraised preflop, firing again on the turn defines our hand to almost exactly AA/AK/JJ making it even easier to play more optimally.
Reply With Quote