Re: Casino Royale
How about a hand analysis of the last hand in the movie? Because I'm a poker junkies, I've been thinking about how the hand went down...
WARNING: Spoiler
So here's what we know, 4 players --
SB, Japanese guy
BB, Black guy
UTG, Villian
Button, Hero
SB has KQs
BB has 88
Villian has A8o
Bond has 57s
Villian must have open-raised here. But he must have put in a small raise for Bond to call getting some deep implied odds with the deep stacks. I think blinds were 1mil/2mil? Bond has at least 40 mil behind as I recall at the end, and was the chip leader.
So Villian open raises, Bond takes a flyer ala Negreanu in position, SB calls with KQs and BB makes an easy call with 88 hoping to flop big.
Flop is A86, 2 spades. Checked to Villian who makes a decent sized bet. Bond calls with the open-ended straight flush draw, SB calls with the second nut flush draw.
Here's the tricky part. You figure BB must put in a healthy check-raise on the flop, due to all 3 players in the hand and an apparent flush draw on the flop. And then all call?
Would Villian just smooth-call the check-raise because he's afraid of Bond and SB smooth-calling the flop and potentially slowplaying a set? So I assume all just call.
Turn puts 4s out there, making an obvious flush. I could see it getting checked around here, SB possibly afraid Bond has AsXs or is he really slowplaying here? I could see BB checking the obvious flush as well as Villian and Bond (with the immortal nuts).
River is another sticky point. SB goes all-in (fine). BB goes all-in (fine). Why would Villian raise here? If I were Villian, I would just call hoping for an overall from Bond. Or does he "know" Bond has a flush/full house due to his action on the flop. Bond could possibly have 88/66.
What do you guys think?
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