Re: Why bet the pot?
This is a good post because this situation seems to come up every time I play. The problem is not betting the pot and getting called after the flop. The problem is if the Turn card fills a straight or flush. It is difficult to know if the player filled and played incorectly on the flop or if he is bluffing with scare cards. This is especially difficult when it is heads up. Against multiple players this is easier because the more people that play the more likely someone will have a good drawing hand.
I always ask myself in this situation if the post flop caller was good enough to fold a draw with improper odds, bad enough to not know the pot odds, or if was being deceptive and called incorrectly for greater implied odds on future streets.
I think it is difficult to know if the OPP leads into the pot on the Turn with a large bet. I have been on the opposite side of this as well and made some calls knowing it was a long shot to hit the turn but also knowing that I would be paid because of good implied odds against agro players. You have to play against a large stack to make this profitable.
So, I think there are two type of players who call pot size bets (in HU conditions) on drawing hands. Bad ones and good ones. I think a good player is more likely to make this call only if he has postion on the the post flop bettor.
This is really confusing and can be difficult to know the correct move if the scare card hits the turn. If the flush or straight card doesn't hit the turn then the chances of being called with a pure drawing hand are much smaller, and I don't think a river flush or straight card is a as scary.
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