Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread : 11/06 - 11/12 ***
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Is the middle more profitable with Lville -6.5 -103 ?
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if you assume 6% push on the spread of 7 like on NFL (college may be slightly higher or lower), then going for the side is slightly better.
as a straight arb you are looking at a guaranteed profit of +1.5c. the side on 7 will pay +100c about 6% of the time, subtracted by a loss of -4c the other 94% of the time, which results in a net EV of +2.24c.
selling back points to pinnacle as an arb almost always costs you some return, especially around key numbers where they charge a higher premium than other sites.
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