Re: Kinsman1josh / Fobol on Party 10/20 Stud8
I work in the computing field and I can tell you that without the cooperation of Partypoker, it would be nigh impossible to cheat via any traditional methods. First of all, a user would have to get into the intranet of the company which I am sure is absurdly protected. Then, they would have to have some knowledge of the PP server/client architecture and figure out where the seeds from the RNG are coming from. Then, they'd have to decode the encryption and figure out the order of the cards remaining in the deck. I doubt they could ever even see what the other players are holding. This is all extremely, extremely farfetched. Now, if he's a shill or something for the site, all of this goes out the window. But I don't believe that Party would jepoardize the entire integrity of their site just so they could earn a couple thousand back (or whatever) per day. The revelation of something like this would cost them millions. I don't believe it at all.
Now, with that said, after close observation of him for many months, I can tell you that he does do some rather unusual things that _may_ indicate that he has some kind of vague insight into the operation of the RNG. I can't believe I'm even buying into this, but it has made me say "hmmmmm" on a few occasions. For example, he sits out very frequently for two to three hands at a time, seemingly at random intervals. He often plays two tables and will alternate sitting out on them here and there. He very rarely sits both out at the same time. And he'll play hands very unusually from time to time, as if he knows what he's going to catch in advance of it happening. The hand history that mscags posted is an example of this. Kinsman is usually a tight, solid player as everyone has attested to so far. But he plays a hand like a split pair of 9s -- an absolutely terrible hand to be sure -- and calls down against an obvious low board like he knows he's getting half anyway? I loathe the fact that I'm even putting this out there since rationally I know he's a solid player with some seemingly insane luck. Perhaps he's done some kind of analysis of hundreds of thousands of hand histories and picked up some kind of pattern in the card distro in the stud game. Since the number of people playing any variant of stud on Party is consistently under 100 at any point, perhaps they did not test their shuffle as well as they did for flop games and Kinsman is exploiting that flaw somehow? I can't think of anything else that even remotely makes any sense that isn't a conspiracy theory. I'm not saying that he cheats, but if he did, this is the only logical explanation I can muster.
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