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Old 11-07-2006, 01:44 PM
Goldmund Goldmund is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Europe
Posts: 303
Default Re: pocket 4s in a turbo

Jayshark wrote: [ QUOTE ]
I can show you mathematically why the stop and go play is more effective .

[/ QUOTE ]

I challenge you to do that for this specific situation. I don't think it would work out assuming effective stacks are 18 big blinds and A) Hero calls the preflop raise of (to)3.6 big blinds and moves all-in on any flop B) Villain would call an all-in reraise w two overcards to Hero's 44 and will call all-in if he pairs up.

It wont work because Hero wins 7.2 Big Blinds 2/3 of the time when he fires on the flop and Villain has missed. This nets him 3.6 big blinds compared to his starting stack. One third of the time Hero fires again and loses 14.6 big blinds when Villain pairs up and hero does not suck out. This leads to a total loss of 18 big blinds. You'd have to accomodate an extra 1 in 8 when Hero hits his set and wins the whole enchillada as well. So there is my challenge! I repeat: I think the stacks are too big/the preflop raise too small for the stop-and-go to be effective here. Goldmund
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