Re: Analysis
WTF? Is this some sort of sick joke?
I'm a reasonably bright guy (read: not MIT), and I think poker is interesting. I actually thought the BVGT trainwreck of a thread was interesting: I sat down and did a weighted EV calculation that 1) answered a bunch of questions for me that weren't adequately answered by all of the intuition being thrown around in the thread 2) taught me a couple of things about how to do weighted EV calcs correctly 3) gave me some insight on how to hone my intuition both at and away from the table.
So, sweet. I thought I'd do the same thing here: use some reasonable assumptions and do some EV calcs. I did that. Guess what .. I got the same thing as El Diablo. In the BVGT thread, I think people were, in the end, arguing about the strength of reads. Here, I'm just totally baffled. It seems like they're arguing about math. But the math seems clear.
WTF? As a low-limit newbie, I have no idea what to think here. If it's really as clear-cut as it seems, why do Mason and El D. disagree?
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