Re: Player Discussion
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In the JJ example you said the $150 reraise was allready in the pot so it was not part of his negative EV.
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26% of the time, JJ loses 150+225 = 375
When JJ loses, he loses the 150 he put in preflop plus the 225 he puts in postflop.
I did not read any further in your post.
As I said before, if you would like to provide some math to disprove what I showed, please feel free to make another attempt.
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The probabilities are wrong.
67% chance of missing flop (44/50*43/49*42*47) = .67
so 33% chance of hit, but
P(J flop and A or Q) = 4%
So, 29% of flops are good for AQ
AQ EV = 38
JJ EV = 17
3% differance on $430 gain = additional $13 for AQ.
Have a nice day.
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you are missing the times that J hits the turn or river.
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