[jlocdog]

You're right. All the numbers add up to me raising the flop. I think as a general rule this is the right play to make. But I had a feeling that he hit his two pair and there is something to be said about going with your read. I just felt that he wouldn't bet into me with anything less than twopair here. The only other possibility is AK. So if he had AK then I made a mistake. But with me having two of the aces, it seemed less likely that he held one.

One Possibility might be if I raise the flop knowing that he has two pair. He might just call and look for a check raise on the turn thinking that I will keep the lead. Then when the 10 hits, I check behind. Now any 4,10,J,or A wins (12 outs) and I get to see the hand through. This way of playing the hand would cost me about 4000 on the flop ( I have to be careful how much I raise here because it just might be enough for him to justify pushing right there). So in essence, I saved 2500 on the hand but lost the possibility to see it through. Now I just need to figure out the % that he would do that exact call raise/check (with intention of raising turn) combo.