Re: Analysis
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Hi amoeba:
You're absolutely correct. If Player B who holds the jacks auto bets the flop, that gives Player A certain playing advantages. On the other hand, if he were to only rarely bet the flop, that would give Player A other advantages, namely the chance to win by catching an ace or queen on the turn (or river).
I believe that most players think about not giving a free card, thus the "continuation bet" will almost always be there. If that's not the case, as I mention replying to your other post, then my analysis does not do a good job of representing reality.
Best wishes,
Mason
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in the cases in which the player with JJ is betting the flop in order to not give a free card, he is betting for value, to which player A folds to the bet.
lets say JJ bets all flops which does not contain an A without a J. then there are no freecards to give.
but even if JJ only bets on flops in which all under cards flop, he only gives a freecard when flop comes Kxx in which xx are rags, this is offset by the times he checks through Axx and Qxx flops and gets the freecard himself with a third J.
most players do not continuation bet here for fear of freecard. the predominate reason to bet out on Axx flops with JJ when you were preflop reraiser and opponent checks to you on the flop is to gain fold equity against better hands such as QQ and KK.
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