[PBJaxx]

[ QUOTE ]
recently I have been checking behind here only to lose to hands like K2d K7d or some other hand that pairs the river but isn't calling a push, so I pushed here as I don't want that to happen.

Villain folds and then claims in chat that he can't fold open ednders - which puts him squarely on JT.

I think most often I'm ahead anyway if he folds but how often does villain have something like K2d and my river bet wins an otherwise lost pot vs the times he has a Q and obv isn't folding.

[/ QUOTE ]

I see your point. I don't have any mathematical basis for this, but I believe that villain having a queen is more likely than villain catching a piece on the river. The bet doesn't have to work everytime to be profitable, though. I still believe checking behind is best.

-Jaxx