Re: Helmuth - Ferguson Head Up Match Theory Question
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Shandax
Ummm what the hell wouldnt you just try to maximize your winning chances as compared to your losing chances and ignore all the draws every single game?
Hypothetically of course. Obviously you try to adjust your game use computers and all that. And yes if you kept drawing repeatedly youd be wasting far too much of your life on a chessboard so you do take some chances to increase variance...but theoretically you would not...anyways if you had a huge lead I'd tend to play even MORE conservatively at chess since you next win would be it and you could go home. Anyways I fail to see how any of your points disprove what sklansky has to say...draws are just draws and can be ignored hypothetically.
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The strategy I suggested (playing coinflips and moving in with aces*) is actually in line with David's recommendation of playing as optimal as possible (= +/- 0 EV), I think. My idea was to max variance so the guy who cannot cope with it as well as I can goes bust first.
Actually my misunderstanding about the blinds forcing this was not too far off either. I said "without blinds going up they would push chips back and forth forever" but I should have said "for ages". Increasing blinds are just a catalyst to speed things up. With low blinds the match will be decided also, just at a much slower speed.
* depends on SC numbers if you want to be precise
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