[slong]

Hi Mason

Can you please explain it yourself?

The only problem I can find in my equation is the typo that I pointed out in my reply to my post and that didnt influence the answer:

[ QUOTE ]

I used the wrong second term in the equation but the answer is correct, should be:
EV = 0.67*(315) + 0.26*(-225) + 0.07*(540) = $190.35


[/ QUOTE ]

I have checked it a couple of times and EV(JJ) > EV(AQ) according to your model, so please explain. That was the question as far as I understood, would you prefer having the JJ or the AQ from the flop onwards with chips behind.

Let me run through this again:

We have three events:
A) No A or Q flops (67%)
- JJ: +315 and AQ: +0
B) A or Q flops and no J on flop, turn or river (26%)
- JJ: -225, AQ: +540
C) A or Q flops and J on flop, turn or river (7%)
- JJ: +540, AQ: -225

So:

EV(JJ) = 0.67*(315) + 0.26*(-225) + 0.07*(540) = $190.35

EV(AQ) = 0.67*(0) + 0.26*(540) + 0.07*(-225) = $124.65

Where is the mistake? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]