Re: Big hand vs. Allen Cunningham
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I would take the time to think it over and decide it was better not to bluff off all my chips against a top pro who is great at reading people.
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I believe most pros get a lot of chips from people bluffing into them, not from bluffing people off hands (other then in the right situations obv).
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I am young and therefore have no fear. I think that this helps me in several aspects of my live game and hinders me in other parts.
I think that I am good at giving off false tells and since AC does not know me, my false tells will be all that he has to go on if he does have a marginal call that is going to come down to that.
In reality, I think that since he does not know me his decission to fold will be based on the fact that I have played my hand like a set
Given my reads I think Pf and flop are completely standard.
Now on the turn I can fold, having a 65k stack or push and roll the dice that AC mucks and I have a 100k stack. Clearly I am in a much better shape with this big stack as the blinds are big enough for me to open up a bit and start applying pressure once I am a big stack.
On the other hand, if my read that he will fold is wrong and he calls then I am out of the tournament 88% of the time.
After hours of conservative play I think that my feerlessness has the potential to give me a big stack and big tournament advantage here. This is the right situation for a bluff.
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