Chicago 17-9
San Francisco to win -$6.71
Detroit 29-21
Detroit -3.5 +$50.00
This came entirely from the "opponent's defense stinks" trend. Exhibit 1: Joey Harrington.
Indianapolis 31-17
Houston +18 +$250.00; Houston to win -$12.50; Over 44.5 +$50.00
Classic +14.5+ cover: a botched punt fumble recovery for Houston (actually two, a 2nd being a bit flukey, but then the Colts made no other turnovers in the game) and zero urgency for the Colts to run up their totals or attempt to score from the Houston 10 when up by 2 TDs with the clock running out. Houston did just enough to stay within reach. Never be afraid to take the points in this situation.
Carolina 30-3
NY Jets +10 -$55.00; Under 40.5 +$100.00
Tampa Bay 36-35
Tampa Bay +2 +$100.00; Over 33 +$50.00
Who knows what would've happened in overtime. Regardless, +2 +115 is too good a number to pass up during an at-home OT period. Could someone please tell these announcers and commentators who think Vermeil and Gruden's calls from the 1 yard line were gutsy that the 2 point conversion rate (from the 2 1/2) is 50%?
Green Bay 33-25
Green Bay +10 +$150.00; Green Bay to win +$100.00
Pittsburgh 34-21
Cleveland +7 -$98.04; Cleveland to win -$16.95; Over 34.5 +$50.00
Dallas 21-20
Philadelphia -3 -$86.43
Weekly Total: +12.49 units among 23.51 units transacted.
Season Total: -23.17 units among 205.17 units transacted.
With favorites still rolling at 80-59-4, this was a very good week indeed. I've come to the conclusion that it's fortunate the system gave up
just 14 units in a 2 week period in which faves went 19-8-1. Week 10 was also a fine week for totals and I believe I'm well into the black on these for the season.
I still make no predictions about how the next 7 weeks will play out. With faves apparently still not overpriced enough, their 58% win rate could continue or a severe correction could occur. My system hopefully, and likely, will carefully select the right ones.
Cross-posted to
SYGamel's NFL Picks