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Old 10-27-2006, 04:31 AM
DandyJam DandyJam is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Sweden
Posts: 452
Default Re: NL200 6m - Playing AJ for stacks

[ QUOTE ]
fold. flop raise ($68) seems too big.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is the fold really that simple if I can narrow his range down to a set or a flush draw?

If I give him a broad, but likely, range of drawing hands I have almost 48% equity in the pot according to PokerStove. On the other hand I have to be confident that he could play a flush draw this way or else 77/33 is just so much more likely.

Board: 7c 3h Ah
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 47.9515 % 47.95% 00.00% { AdJh }
Hand 2: 52.0485 % 52.05% 00.00% { 77, 33, KhQh, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, QhTh, Qh9h, Qh8h, Th9h, Th8h, Th7h, 9h8h, 9h7h, 8h7h, 8h6h, 7h6h, 7h5h, 6h5h, 6h4h, 5h4h }
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