View Single Post
  #37  
Old 10-22-2006, 09:29 PM
00Snitch 00Snitch is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 2,260
Default Re: Perfect example from SSHE that I botched.

[ QUOTE ]
No, we trow away 2BB 60% of the time when UTG calls and we trow 2BB away another 6% of the time when UTG folds but UTG+1 has the best hand

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
0.4(0.85*15.25) - 0.6(2) = 3.98

[/ QUOTE ]

0.6(2) = 60% of the time we throw away 2bb. no arguments there.

0.4(0.85*15.25) = 40% of the time we win 85% of the pot. so 15% of the 40% of times we dont win the pot. 15% of 40% is 6%. so isnt what we are saying the same thing...?

hang on... i see... scrap all that above...

it should be 0.4(0.85*15.25 - 0.15*2) = 0.4(12.665) = 5.185

so my whole formula should read:

0.4(0.85*15.25 - 0.15*2) - 0.6*2
= 0.4(12.665) - 1.2
= 5.066 - 1.2
= 3.866

have i got it this time? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

edit: PS. hielko, while you are checking my math, how does it look in first post in this thread? as you can see, im not the best at this stuff [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote