Re: Perfect example from SSHE that I botched.
Well lets analyse it like this.
We will say that we are NEVER good on the river. However, that is only because we are behind to UTG 100% of the time. UTG is weak tight. UTG will never fold for one bet because the pot is so big. But let us summise that she will fold for 2 bets 40% of the time. The other 60% she calls and takes the pot. When she folds let us say that I beat UTG1 85% of the time (Only a jack or a Q beats me and he doesn't have a PP higher than 7 and he never has the flush) and he will call one more 40% of that and MHIG.
How can we put this into a formula that shows the expected value?
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