Re: Perfect example from SSHE that I botched.
Posting blind.
I dont remember the example from SSHE that you are referring to, but you may enlighten me.
Nice opening description, particularly of the LAG.
Normally, I would fold 99 to the solid player's UTG pf raise, but a call seems reasonable with the LAG also in the hand.
Your explanation for your flop 3-bet makes sense to me, but I agree that it looks as though you are in trouble when UTG caps.
I agree that UTG may have c-bet the flop with say AK, particularly if one of them was a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], however the flop cap suggests that she has a high overpair.
After the LAG calls the flop cap, the pot is 19.5 sb, and is big enough for you to call in the hope of catching a 3rd 9.
You pick up a draw to a one card flush on the turn, but it is only to the 5th nuts.
Thats where I think that you made a mistake. I dont think that your turn bet was likely to fold UTG if she had a high overpair or A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] or K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and the LAG was probably also going nowhere.
So, I would have gratefully taken your free card on the turn, as opposed to attempt to represent the made flush with a bluff.
UTG looks as though she is still worried about a possibly made flush when she checks the river. However, despite the huge pot, I very much doubt whether your hand is best and I would not have called the river bet.
If you had checked behind on the turn and UTG had still checked the river, then I would have felt more inclined to call the LAG's river bet.
|