Re: Player Discussion
Given that the deck is missing an A, Q, J, and another J... there are 48 cards left in the deck. Assuming the JJ doesn't flop a set, there's 10 cards(3 Qs, 4 Ks, 3 As) that will easily scare JJ off his hand. Feeling stupid that I don't know how to do the math to figure out chances of flopping one of 10 outs, but maybe if I BS I can get there...
so 48 cards left for flop card 1, 10/48
flop card 2, 10/47=21%
flop card 3, 10/46
I'll go ahead and use 21% for all 3. 63% chance that JJ will flop an overcard in this situation. This seems really high so correct me if I'm wrong. But if I am right, 63% of the time JJ will most likely have to let go of his hand if faced with resistance.
Another issue that is already covered, it is a lot easier for AQs to tell if he has the best hand than the JJ. Just a couple thoughts,
-Ace
EDIT: Also, I think if this hand were played out with 1000 different flops, 500 with JJ in position, 500 with AQs in position... my money is on AQs coming out on top. Lets say a K flops, JJ bets anyways, takes down the pot. An A or Q flops, JJ bets anyways, gets called or reraised and is forced to slowdown or let go of the hand. AQs either hits or misses, with the exception of QJ or AJ flops. I'll take position first, then AQs all day long.
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